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巴沙土联盟邀请德黑兰加入，美以要是再打伊朗，那就是超级大战？,兵器海陆空,原创 巴沙土联盟邀请德黑兰加入，美以要是再打伊朗，那就是超级大战？_我的网站
A | The year 2026 marks the 70th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Egypt, as well as the 70th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Arab states.
A recent survey on "How Chinese people view Egypt" conducted by the Global Times Institute found that Egypt's ancient civilization has left a deep impression on the Chinese public.
Most respondents view Egypt as a friendly country or strategic partner, hold optimistic expectations for the future development of China-Egypt relations and strongly support deeper cooperation. Chinese and Egyptian experts said that Chinese people's favorable impressions of Egypt are rooted in both historical and current factors.
The mutual respect and appreciation between China and Egypt for each other's civilizations and cultures, as well as practical cooperation between the two countries in various fields, have promoted the development of China-Egypt relations and shaped positive views of Egypt among Chinese people.
The survey was conducted from July 16 to 28 among ordinary people aged 18 to 69 across 31 provincial-level regions.
A total of 1,845 valid questionnaires were collected, with sample support provided by professional market research company DATA 100.
The data was weighted based on the gender and age structure of internet users in the 57th Statistical Report on China's Internet Development released by the China Internet Network Information Center in February 2026.
China-Egypt exchanges and cooperation have been active in multiple fields. In recent years, the two countries have held a variety of events, including cultural weeks, film festivals, cultural relic exhibitions and photo exhibitions, expanding people-to-people and cultural exchanges that have been warmly welcomed by people from both countries.
Survey data shows that 85 percent of Chinese respondents have some degree of understanding of Egypt, including about 40 percent who are "very familiar" or "relatively familiar" with Egypt, while more than 40 percent have some basic knowledge of the country. The Global Times Institute conducted an in-depth study of the 1,845 respondents who had knowledge of Egypt.
China and Egypt are both among the world's four ancient civilizations. Egypt's ancient civilization heritage has left the deepest impression on Chinese respondents. When mentioning Egypt, 66 percent of respondents first thought of iconic elements of ancient civilization such as the pyramids, pharaohs, mummies and the Sphinx, while 39 percent associated Egypt with its status as an ancient civilization. Some respondents also thought of natural landscapes such as the Nile River (30 percent), the Suez Canal (20 percent), and the Red Sea/the Mediterranean Sea (8 percent).
Egypt is not only a member of the African Union (AU), but also a founding member of the UN and holds other important international identities. In 2024, it officially joined the BRICS cooperation mechanism.
Regarding Egypt's multiple international roles, nearly 80 percent of respondents were able to correctly identify at least one of them. Among these, respondents showed relatively high awareness of Egypt's role as a core leading country of the League of Arab States, a BRICS member and a major AU country, with recognition rates all exceeding 30 percent.
In addition, more than 20 percent of respondents recognized Egypt's identity as a full member of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation and as a member of the Global South. As a founding member of the Arab League, Egypt has in recent years actively participated in ceasefire mediation, humanitarian aid coordination and dialogue efforts on Middle East hotspot issues such as the Gaza situation. More than 60 percent of respondents recognized Egypt's positive role in these efforts.
Mira Ahmed, an Egyptian literary translator and a member of the World Council of Sinologists, told the Global Times that the high level of recognition of Egypt's ancient civilization among the Chinese public reflects the profound historical and cultural ties between the two countries.
Both countries possess ancient civilizations spanning thousands of years and have made important contributions to the development of human civilization. In addition, the Egyptian and Chinese peoples have long had an understanding of each other's civilizations, with ancient civilizations serving as a common language between the two peoples and an important window for learning about each other's history and culture.
Therefore, Chinese people's association of Egypt as "an ancient civilization" reflects the Chinese public's respect and admiration for the country's historical and cultural status.
Friendly country, strategic partner
China and Egypt established diplomatic relations in 1956, with Egypt becoming the first Arab and African country to establish diplomatic ties with the People's Republic of China. Nearly 90 percent of respondents gave positive or neutral evaluations of current China-Egypt relations. Among them, 63 percent said China-Egypt relations are "very good" or "relatively good."
What kind of role does Egypt play for China in the eyes of the Chinese public? Data shows that more than 70 percent of respondents regard Egypt as a "friendly country" or "strategic partner." In December 2014, China and Egypt officially established a comprehensive strategic partnership, and nearly 90 percent of respondents agreed that this was important for China.
When asked about the future of China-Egypt relations, nearly 70 percent of respondents expressed optimistic expectations, while more than 20 percent believed the relationship would remain unchanged.
From a historical perspective, first, then Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai's extensive interactions with then Egyptian leader Gamal Abdel Nasser at the 1955 Bandung Conference helped eliminate misunderstandings among Arab countries about China. This contributed to Egypt becoming the first Arab country to establish diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China in 1956 and also triggered the first wave of Arab countries to establish diplomatic relations with China. Second, during Egypt's struggle for rights over the Suez Canal, China provided substantial support for Egypt's pursuit of national independence, liberation and interests. Third, during the 1950s and 1960s, China and Egypt jointly opposed imperialism, colonialism and hegemonism, while participating in efforts to promote the rise of the Third World as a new force in international politics. Their historical interactions left a profound impression on both sides, forging a deep friendship between the two countries.
From a contemporary perspective, since the beginning of reform and opening-up, especially since the start of the new era, practical cooperation between China and Egypt in various fields has promoted the development of China-Egypt relations and shaped positive views of Egypt among the Chinese public, Liu said.
Mira Ahmed pointed out that Chinese people's favorable impression of Egypt generally reflects the positive development of China-Egypt relations. The relationship between the two countries is not limited to political and economic fields, but also covers culture, education, tourism and people-to-people exchanges. Most importantly, both sides hold mutual respect and appreciation for each other's civilizations and cultures, laying a solid foundation for the continued development of bilateral relations in the future.
Pragmatic and diversified cooperation
Since the beginning of 2026, China and Egypt have signed and implemented a number of industrial parks, and cooperation has accelerated its expansion into new energy. Concrete results have also been achieved in areas such as the automotive industry, finance and currency, urban infrastructure, and cultural heritage and archaeology.
More than 80 percent of respondents have some knowledge of China-Egypt cooperation. Among various cooperation frameworks and projects, more than half of respondents are aware of Egypt's participation in the Belt and Road Initiative, and 32 percent of respondents know about Chinese-built infrastructure projects in Egypt such as light rail and roads. In addition, some respondents are also aware of China-Egypt cooperation in the cultural sphere, such as Confucius Institutes, as well as the production and sales cooperation of Chinese-brand mobile phones, home appliances and automobiles in Egypt.
More than 80 percent of respondents believe that, since the establishment of diplomatic relations, cooperation between the two countries has been effective. Moreover, 99 percent of respondents believe that China and Egypt should further deepen cooperation in the future, including in tourism and people-to-people exchanges, green development and new energy, agricultural products, food supply chains, economy and trade, and investment.
More than 90 percent of respondents look forward to advancing cooperation in people-to-people and social exchanges between the two countries in the future. When asked, "If Egypt introduces more convenient Chinese-language services and payment methods for Chinese tourists, would you increase your willingness to travel to Egypt?" more than 70 percent of respondents answered affirmatively. At the same time, more than 70 percent of respondents welcome more Egyptian people to come to China for tourism, study or business activities.
Mira Ahmed believes that the poll results reflect that China-Egypt cooperation has become pragmatic and diversified, transcending purely political or diplomatic relations. "I believe one of the most important features of this cooperation is complementarity. Egypt and China both possess capabilities and expertise that can complement each other, thereby opening up broad prospects for deeper and more sustainable cooperation in the future."
Future cooperation in global governance expected
In recent years, the international situation has been changing rapidly, with conflicts in the Middle East and prominent problems in global supply chains. As a country in a conflict region, Egypt has actively mediated to help de-escalate the situation. China has actively promoted peace talks and facilitated world peace and development.
More than 90 percent of respondents believe that China and Egypt need to cooperate in the field of global governance in the future. Among them, the largest proportion of respondents (37 percent) look forward to China and Egypt jointly safeguarding the security of shipping in the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. Thirty-five percent of respondents hope that China and Egypt will work together to maintain security and stability in the Middle East and jointly promote the peaceful resolution of the Palestine-Israel issue and the Iran-Israel issue.
Furthermore, 33 percent of respondents hope that China and Egypt will jointly speak up for the Global South on platforms such as BRICS and the UN, and 31 percent of respondents look forward to China and Egypt jointly participating in global poverty reduction in the future.
Liu believes that China and Egypt, both being Global South countries, can cooperate at multiple levels in the field of global governance. First is cooperation between China and the Arab world, particularly within the framework of the China-Arab States Cooperation Forum mechanism, across political, economic, cultural and other fields.
Second, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and Iran are Global South countries in the Middle East that have joined the BRICS cooperation mechanism in recent years. China and these Middle Eastern countries under the BRICS mechanism all have extensive space for cooperation.
Third, within multilateral mechanisms, including the UN, Egypt is an important partner for China in further solidifying and deepening the implementation of the four global initiatives worldwide. In addition, in the fields of peace, security, development and governance in the Middle East, China and Egypt also have extensive room for cooperation.
China and Egypt should strengthen communication and coordination on hot issues in the Middle East and work to resolve issues related to security and development in the region, Liu said.
。 这个全球地缘政治日益复杂的时代，任何一条新闻都可能改变中东的格局。最近，伊朗议会新闻社的消息引发了国际社会的广泛关注，沙特阿拉伯、土耳其和巴基斯坦向德黑兰发出邀请，希望其加入《麦加共同防务协议》。
B | 这一消息如同一声晴天霹雳，标志着中东局势即将发生翻天覆地的变化，这不仅影响着美以两国，也可能改变整个地区的权力结构。 长期以来，中东的局势都被美以两国主导。然而，随着伊朗在该地区的重要性日渐凸显，尤其是其近年来在叙利亚和伊拉克等地的影响力增强，美国似乎陷入了“外强中干”的境地。
C | 在这样的背景下，沙特阿拉伯开始意识到，单靠美国的保护已经不足以应对潜在的威胁。于是，沙特与土耳其、巴基斯坦签署了《麦加共同防务协议》，形成了一种新的集体防务机制。 这一协议，并不特指针对某个国家，意味着任何国家均可加入。这让伊朗未来有可能在不久的将来加入这一联盟，从而形成一个由什叶派国家主导的防御体系。这听起来似乎是不可能完成的任务，因为考虑到沙特和伊朗历史上紧张的关系，但这一变化的出现正是中东局势新的转型。 美国一直以来在中东的霸权地位面临巨大的挑战。如果伊朗真的加入《麦加共同防务协议》，意味着中东的力量对比将发生根本性变化。中东不再是单一的两极化关系，而是逐渐向三股力量交织的复杂局面发展。除了美以两国，伊朗与其支持下的什叶派将形成新的战略同盟，以对抗外部势力的干涉。 与此同时，巴沙土联盟的成立，实际上是对过去美以主导的单元格模式的一次重大反击。中东地区的国家开始意识到，只有团结一致，才能确保各自的安全和利益。在这种情况下，所谓的“泛伊斯兰体系”得以形成，为这些国家在面对外来压力时提供了一种新的安全保障。 在此背景下，美国的处境变得异常微妙。一方面，如果美国试图采取军事行动对抗伊朗，那么按照《麦加共同防务协议》的原则，可能引发与多个国家的全面战争。美国必须明白，这样的结果几乎是不可承受的代价。因为一旦冲突爆发，整个中东局势将迅速升级，导致局部战争的风险大幅增加。 另一方面，如果沙特和其他国家坚持与伊朗的合作，那么美国在这一地区的影响力将遭到极大削弱。长久以来，美国的金融霸权建立在“石油—美元”体系之上，而如果这一体系崩塌，势必影响到美国在全球的经济地位，从而造成连锁反应，不容小觑。 对于伊朗来说，加入《麦加共同防务协议》看似是一种机遇，但与此同时也存在着不小的风险。虽然可以获得区域内其他国家的支持与合作，但与沙特的历史恩怨仍然是一个不可忽视的问题。此外，伊朗自身在国际舞台上的形象及其与更广泛的“抵抗之弧”国家关系的协调问题，也是选择是否加入这一联盟时需要认真考量的。
D | 尽管如此，考虑到巴沙土国家释放的友好信号，伊朗对这一提议表现出的积极态度，或许这表示着一种破冰的可能性。
E | 或许经过时间的推移，原本敌对的关系也能逐渐得到缓和，进而为中东的和平开辟出新的希望。 当前中东的局势正处于一个微妙的转型期。《麦加共同防务协议》及其潜在的成员国伊朗，将成为影响未来中东局势走向的重要变量。在新的地缘政治格局中，各国之间的合作与对抗关系将相对复杂，谁能在这场博弈中找到最优解，才是真正的赢家。 而在这一过程中，美国的反应将十分关键，能否寻找到合适的策略来维护自身在中东的利益，将考验其外交智慧和判断力。因此，未来的中东局势不仅关乎该地区的国家，更是全球战略平衡的一部分。返回，查看更多。
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